Archive for January, 2008

There’s No Simple Answer

Posted by KoolAidMan on January 7th, 2008

Forbes reports that US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said there’s no simple answer to the housing crisis.

“By preventing avoidable foreclosures, we will safeguard neighborhoods and communities and fulfill our responsibility of protecting the broader U.S. economy,” Paulson said in excerpts of his speech released by Treasury. “However, let me be clear: there is no single or simple solution that will undo the excesses of the last few years.”

On top of that, there’s some talk at CNN that Wall Street is calling for the Fed to lower interest rates again.

The government reported December employment figures on Friday. Only 18,000 jobs were added to the nation’s payrolls while economists were predicting job growth of 70,000. What’s more, the unemployment rate was expected to come in at 4.8 percent, up from 4.7 percent in November.

As a result of these gloomy numbers, expectations for a half-point rate cut grew Friday morning. According to futures listed on the Chicago Board of Trade, investors are pricing in a 84 percent chance that the Fed will lower the federal funds rates by 50 basis points, to 3.75 percent, at the conclusion of its two-day meeting on January 30.

It seems there’s no simple answer to any of the issues our economy is facing. In other news, Marketwatch is reporting that Anheuser Busch shipments to wholesalers are up 2%. With all the turmoil in the stock market and housing market, are people drinking their worries away? That’s a simple (although temporary) solution!

NYC Real Estate Still Booming

Posted by KoolAidMan on January 3rd, 2008

CNN reports that Manhattan home prices are still holding strong as overseas buyers and Wall Street workers compete for the few homes for sale.

Manhattan real estate continues to buck national trends - New York home prices soared during the last three months of the year, according to several surveys released Thursday.

Several factors buoyed the Manhattan market:

Bonus Money
Wall Street brokerages, despite a hit from cratering mortgage bonds, still paid out big, end-of-year bonuses.

Overseas Buyers
Another major factor is the influence of foreign buyers, according to Greg Heym, chief economist for Brown Harris Stevens. The dollar’s decline made buying in Manhattan something of a bargain for them.

Low Interest Rates
On the lower end, reasonable interest rates kept monthly mortgage payments within reach for many New Yorkers.

“It’s like the Energizer bunny,” said Pam Liebman, CEO of Corcoran. “It just keeps going and going and going.”

This will just keep going on forever, because New York has never seen declines in real estate, right? It’s been said before that the NYC housing market is very closely related to the stock market. With the Fed keeping interest rates low (and possibly lowering them) the stock market should hold up well.